Effect of Artificial Intelligence on Manufacturing and Industrialisation in Africa: Automation Disruption, Employment Threats, and Industrial Policy Responses
Emmanuel Usulor Nwogboji, Umar Atolagbe, Ogah Sunday Ogbo
This study examines the effect of artificial intelligence on manufacturing and industrialisation in Africa, focusing on how AI-driven automation is disrupting industrial employment, threatening the labour-intensive manufacturing pathway that historically enabled structural transformation in East Asia, and reshaping the industrial policy choices available to African economies. The study adopts a mixed-methods design combining systematic documentary analysis, comparative policy mapping, and secondary quantitative data from major international and regional institutions. Guided by Structural Transformation Theory and the Technology-Organisation-Environment Framework, the study identifies six major disruption domains: automation of labour-intensive tasks, concentration of productivity gains in foreign-owned firms, displacement of workers witho

